An Evaluation of Forecasting Methods and Forecast Combination Methods in Goods Management Systems

نویسندگان

  • Carsten Schneider
  • Matthias Klapper
  • Thomas Wenzel
چکیده

In this paper we use 4 different time series models to forecast sales in a goods management system. We use a variety of forecast combining techniques and measure the forecast quality by applying symmetric and asymmetric forecast quality measures. Simple, rank-, and criteria-based combining methods lead to an improvement of the individual time series models.

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تاریخ انتشار 1999